This blog has been retired, new updates are happening at http://josephscott.org/
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Payment Systems As A Strategic Advantage

Posted on May 7th, 2008 / Comments Off
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A couple of days after suggesting that Sun should offer cloud services they announced that they would be supporting Amazon EC2 by having it run Sun’s OpenSolaris and offer MySQL support for instances running on top of EC2. Nice, but not any where near what I’m hoping for. So I started looking at the other side of the coin, what things are keeping Sun from being able to offer pay as you go consumer services? One thing quickly came to mind: dealing with many payment transactions, often for small amounts.

The beauty of pay as you go cloud services is that you pay for what you use. If you only use a small amount, you only pay a small amount. My S3 bill each month rarely goes over $5, because I only use it in small amounts. Amazon charges my credit card and sends me an email with the details. But for most companies doing lots of credit card transactions for small amounts simply isn’t worth it. The fees associated with credit card transactions add up fast when dealing with such small transactions. At least for most companies.

Amazon has been doing large volumes of credit card transactions for a number of years, I’d be very surprised if they don’t have some custom fee structure for processing them. When you do the volume of transactions that a company like Amazon does, that gives you a little more leverage. So part of what has allowed Amazon to grow into the pay as go cloud services market is the fact that they already had a large payment system in place that allows them to process even fairly small transactions efficiently.

This gives Google Checkout an even more important role than just being a competitor to PayPal. With AdWords and AdSense already going, Google already has plenty of reason to want the same sort of leverage Amazon has for processing payments. With Google App Engine expected to have a similar pay as go structure as AWS, there will be even more focus on processing small amounts without taking a big hit on fees.

Now back to Sun. As far as I know Sun has nothing that even comes close to Amazon’s volume of transactions or Google’s small fee services. So they’ve had no reason to build up an efficient payment system that can handle small amounts. This leaves them with two choices, build one to try and gain the needed leverage to reduce the fees involved, or partner with someone else who already has. So far they’ve gone with the later, specifically Amazon and their EC2 service.

One way around the small transaction amount problem is to have customers pay in advance. Sun could still offer pay as you go services, but you have pay for them upfront in $100 increments. Each month your usage fee would be deducted from the amount you already paid them. If I only used $10 this month, I’d still have $90 left in my account. This isn’t nearly as attractive from the small customer side as simply paying $10 per month from their credit card, but not horrendous either, especially if you could get the minimum pay in advance amount down to something under $50.

I’d really like to see more competition in the cloud services space, but so far Amazon has it pretty much all to itself (which a small niche potentially going to Google App Engine). And unless companies like Sun can find ways to process small payments efficiently we might not be seeing any for a long time to come.

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Google Docs Spam

Posted on April 21st, 2008 / 1 Comment »
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One of the neat things about Google Docs is the ability to share the document with others. You can do this with anyone just by knowing their email address. Google will then send an email out that looks something like:

I’ve shared a document with you called “Spam sharing test”:
http://docs.google.com/a/example.com/Doc?id=xxxxxxxxxxxxxx&invite=

It’s not an attachment — it’s stored online at Google Docs. To open this document, just click the link above.

Shared this doc with you.

Which is a really handy way to collaborate with others on a document. And it seems the spammers have discovered this as well.

I’ve recently started seeing emails for documents that I’ve been invited to, which turn out to be just a bunch of spam. They’ve taken Google Docs and are using it in an attempt to mask their spam from email filters, by providing link to a service you might normally trust. I suspect that Gmail is unlikely to mark any doc invites as spam.

Currently this seems to be pretty limited, the spammers have to paste in the email addresses into an invite box. Google could do some basic things to prevent spammy looking invites from going out (do you really mean to invite 3.78 million people to share your document?). I’m not aware of a Google Docs API that allows you to script doc invites, but if there is one (or if they come out with one later) then you can bet the spammers will make use of that as well.

This will turn into another wack-a-mole situation, where Google will (hopefully) revoke accounts and API keys for users who are sending out spam in this way. Then the spammer will just start using another one of the 324,834 accounts that they’ve already created at Google until it gets blocked too. Rinse, lather and repeat.

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Google App Engine

Posted on April 8th, 2008 / 7 Comments »
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Today’s big news was the announcement of Google App Engine. Plenty of people have been covering the details, I just wanted to leave a few thoughts:

This looks like an amazing service. Being able to make use of Google infrastructure for your web app is a wonderful idea. Currently limited to Python, so all the Python fans are going nuts.

What Google App Engine (GAE) isn’t is a direct competitor to Amazon’s web services (EC2, S3, etc). What Amazon provides are virtualized services, what GAE provides is a specific platform. While that platform is pretty amazing, it is also complete and total vendor lock in. If you needed to move your application off of GAE, how would you do it? This might give pause to those interested in buying your startup.

There’s an SDK for starting your app before going live, but no way to migrate data from your test system to the live server. I imagine as people begin to use this new platform they’ll find other issues as well. That isn’t to say that GAE isn’t worth while, just that it isn’t a miracle cure.

The top search result for prologue on Google is Matt’s Prologue theme announcement. That same announcement post is number 5 on Yahoo! and on Live Search / MSN Search it doesn’t show up on the first page of results at all.

Feel free to speculate on those data points.

Earth to Google, I am not a virus or spyware. I’ve been using your services for years, I have deleted all of my Google cookies and answered your captcha several times in the last few days, yet you still insist on not processing my search requests. Since most of my searches are done from the search field in Firefox it is very easy for me to switch to another search engine. Which I’ve now done.

I realize that I’m just one lone user in a sea of millions, so my switch to using Yahoo for search is unlikely to make a dent for you. For me though this is a big deal. I’ve relied on your services for years and hate the idea that I won’t be able to continue to use them for years to come. You better not screw up Gmail or Gcal, exporting all that data to another service would not be fun.

At some point in the future I’ll be checking back, hopefully by then you’ll have gotten over your “Joseph is a virus” obsession. Because I’m sure there are lots of spyware applications out there looking for city boundary maps of the city of Sandy, Utah.

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Links for Thu 27 Dec 2007

Posted on December 27th, 2007 / Comments Off
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  • The Google Enigma – This was a really interesting read. Are huge tech companies like Google changing everything about business, or confirming what we already know? I have to wonder if Facebook will be going through a similar analysis one day.
    Tags: google business

  • 5xm.org / Avatars – Plugin for Mac OS X address book application to download gravatar images for your contacts.
    Tags: addressbook macosx gravatar plugin

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Stock Picks

Posted on December 7th, 2007 / Comments Off
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Just in case anyone suggests that I might have anything useful to say in the area of stock picks, let me tell you a story. When Google IPO’d and the stock was available to “normal” folks at around $100-ish per share I laughed. I thought, who in their right mind would pay $100+ for a share for Google?

That was some 3.5 years ago, now it trades slightly higher. The moral of this story? Don’t let anyone ever tell you I’m any good at giving stock tips.

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Links for Mon 12 Nov 2007

Posted on November 12th, 2007 / Comments Off
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GrandCentral Purchased By Google

Posted on July 2nd, 2007 / Comments Off
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Google purchased GrandCentral.

I want this to indicate that GrandCentral will get better and have fewer scaling issues. They are going to limit their future growth via an invite system (remember when you had to have an invite for Gmail?).

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Google Trends Died Back In November 2006

Posted on March 8th, 2007 / Comments Off
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It appears that Google Trends stopped back in November 2006. Did I miss something? The about page doesn’t have any mention of this, only stating that:

We’ll aim to update the information provided by Google Trends monthly.

There has been some discussion about this on the Google Trends group list, but no responses from Google. I’ve emailed labs+trends@google.com asking what happened.

Perhaps Matt Cutts could offer some insight into what is going on.

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